The “mutant strain” of Coroni, 70 more virulent than old Coroni, closed borders, exaggerated fears and made Christmas and New Year even more merry for the New World Order.
Well, it turns out its our old friends at Imperial College at it again. Actually one of the buddies of Neil “you lock down while I sneak out for an illicit shag” Ferguson. Some extracts:
“Per Johnson, as well as the UK’s Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty who also spoke at Saturday’s press conference, the new strain – nicknamed VUI-202012/01 – is around 70% more transmissible, but no evidence shows it to be any more severe or deadly than previous strains.”
“Volz [from Imperial College] then goes on to compare the transmissibility of A222V and N501Y. Regarding the model used to determine A222V’s transmissibility, Volz states that “model fit is not particularly good” given that “there are lots of outliers early on and there are lots of outliers quite late.” He concludes that “we wouldn’t expect that a logistical growth model is necessarily appropriate in this case.” However, he uses this “not necessarily appropriate” model of a poor fit to compare to the new strain.”
“Yet, even with the model for the new strain’s transmissibility, Volz states that it’s “too early to tell” what N501Y’s transmissibility even is …”