Saker and Dmitry Orlov offer realistic-feeling enlightenment on this; both native Russian-speaking Russians, and also entirely fluent in English. In addition, Dmitry is now at last permanently back in Russia, and getting the - strikingly-different - Russian perspective on Western russophobic shenanigans, from that end.
Search Saker’s recent commentaries on the Navalny bollocks at ‘Vineyard of the Saler’. Dmitry, I’m afraid, can only be accessed in full via his subscriber list.
In a nutshell, they point out that Navalny is barely taken seriously by the bulk of Russians, and regularly pulls about a 2-4 percent supporter bloc in opinion polls and elections. And he is, from the contemptuous viewpoint of the average Russian, a comprador traitor for Western thug-interests. Most punters there also seem to regard the ‘novichok’ rubbish as a ridiculous joke.
Here are a couple of excerpts from Dmitry’s recent mailout on the subject, in a post titled: ‘How American Propaganda helps Russian Propaganda’:
“Reading or watching the news in the US (American propaganda, that is) you might conjecture that “leading Russian opposition candidate Alexei Navalny” is a prisoner of conscience while in fact “convicted felon and foreign intelligence service asset Alexei Navalny” was arrested for violating the terms of his parole simultaneously for two criminal convictions for embezzling and fraud. Was he entrapped, perhaps, or a victim of circumstance?”
And -
"Finally, Navalny offers a passive victory for Russian propaganda. The Americans think that, thanks to Navalny, they are holding 4 aces and a joker (Navalny being the joker) whereas their real hand is a worthless no pair. There is but one danger lurking in all this: once the Americans realize that Navalny is worthless to them but valuable to Russia, they may try to kill him (for real this time). Therefore, the safest place to keep him is in a Russian jail. Luckily, the number of crimes he has committed makes it perfectly legitimate to do so. If all goes well for him, he will persist in permanent limbo, serving as a cautionary tale to all such felonious foreign-paid “leading opposition candidates.” "