We are repeatedly told the Delta variant is 60% more infectious than Alpha/UK and 100% more than the original FD, sorry Wuhan virus. I think this is based on 95% puff and hearsay, and five percent on reality. It may be a little more infectious, but how would you know? How infectious it is depends on the environment and the infecter.
But no-one ever mentions what the mortality rate, though imply that it is “More dangerous”, without evidence. What evidence I can garner, epidemiologist style, suggests Delta is significantly less deadly than Fort Detrick, which sort of goes with it being a bit more infectious. the death toll in India was around 1% of cases reported, compared with around 3% in most countries. (for comparison only it is valid) And in the UK it seems just looking at the daily stats that it is a lot less deadly, as een though cases are up to 20,000+ a day, deaths still remain mostly under 20 or in single figures.
Given that we are told that most people getting the Delta haven’t been vaccinated, they can’t say the low death toll is due to this - or they would! Just as they now pretend that cases plummeted at the start of January because of vaccinations, when in fact the vaccinations had little effect on a wave which already passed its peak.
The stats for all these things seem always hard to find and to refind, so interested if anyone has any ideas on this. cheers David.
I think the official story is that it’s younger folk who are not vaccinated, hence the low death toll. Younger people are a lot more resistent to Covid after all. It’s hard to pick apart the various factors at play here.
Thanks PP - I’d forgotten that alleged explanation… probably because I wasn’t sure it was true. They’ve also been putting out the story that younger people are ending up sick and in hospital more with the Delta variant, and I don’t know that I believe that either. If the age/mortality profile of SARS-CoV-2 changes significantly we will be dealing with quite a different virus.
Another question which needs answering is whether people who caught COVID in the first wave or even in the second “Alpha” one gained immunity to the Delta strain. The lack of recognition of natural immunity except begrudgingly or on page 231 is one of the greatest deceptions of all, and includes the incredible crime of allowing people who recovered from COVID to still get vaccinated and expose themselves to unnecessary risk for no benefit. But admitting it would mean admitting vaccination wouldn’t be necessary. Have we any idea how many Poms actually have antibodies to CV19, or did before the VAX? I believe it would be at least 50%, or perhaps 70 in some areas like London.
It would be simple to do a survey - simply asking people catching Delta if they already had CV19 and recovered, or doing a scientific study with an antibody test. I think the natural antibodies can be distinguished from the vaccine induced ones.