Below is the letter I sent to the ABC after hearing Patient Zero yesterday, which you can hear here - it is a fascinating study in detective work and science:
Dear Olivia, Joel,
I listened to part 3 of “Patient Zero” this morning with some fascination, and some empathy with the researchers who were determined to pursue the search for something they couldn’t see but which logic suggested must be there. Often such research is necessitated by a coincidence which is simply too improbable to not be a connection, and indeed one could say that the essence of scientific and statistical analysis is in “connecting coincidences”.
I have a particular sympathy with these researchers as I seem to spend my days following leads and investigating such events, despite the overwhelming tide of opinion against me. You may call me a “conspiracy analyst” – but not a “theorist”, as conspiracy is the life-blood of global affairs nowadays. It’s only a matter of whose conspiracy theory one believes.
I don’t happen to believe in the conspiracy theory that some invisible supernatural being (whatever that might be) is controlling our world and bestowing favours on the pious, despite the lack of any evidence, but several billion people do. Instead I have my own conspiracy theory about the origins of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, as roughly laid out in this article from May 15th. (and with which several billion people disagree!)
I’m looking forward to hearing your own conclusions on “patient zero” for CV19 next week, though I don’t expect them to consider my particular suggestion or accept that our closest ally could be so malicious and mendacious, despite all the evidence that this is their normal modus operandi.
However, I hope that you will “hear me out”, and consider the details of my purely scientific proposal – being one that can explain some of the problematic details of the origins and nature of the novel Coronavirus. I hope particularly that you will consider this simple scientific proposal – that the CDC did NOT “fail to identify” the causative agent of the outbreak of severe respiratory disease at Greensprings Retirement village in July 2019, as described in this report from the ABC: (also linked in my article)
ABC news on Fairfax County Greensprings outbreak, July 12th 2019:
https://abcnews.go.com/US/respiratory-outbreak-investigated-retirement-community-54-residents-fall/story?id=64275865
- and also here in the Washington Post July 18th 2019 behind paywall:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2019/07/17/third-person-has-died-after-respiratory-illness-outbreak-greenspring-village-fairfax-officials-say/
As I wrote in May, it was simply not believable that the CDC could fail to identify a virus that caused a serious outbreak and deaths in an aged care facility, but listening to today’s “patient zero” made me appreciate just how unbelievable this claim really was. As you described the identification of the novel Adanavirus using DNA sequencing techniques which are now standard practice, it would have been a simple matter to do such tests on residents and staff and identify the new SARS virus, and we may assume that this is exactly what the CDC did.
As I also note, the CDC director Robert Redford testified in Senate questioning that cases of a serious influenza had been noticed in late 2019, months before the virus was officially recorded in Washington state, and before it was identified in Wuhan. It is hardly surprising that this statement was picked up quickly by Chinese FM spokesman Lijian Zhao, with his clear demand to the US to tell China who was the US patient zero.
Early genotyping also indicated that there appeared to be five separate strains of the virus in Wuhan in early December, with implications it had been circulating for a period before the supposed patient zero in Wuhan. I imagine that your focus will be on how this patient zero picked up the virus, noting that he did not have contact with the wet market. In my analysis and that of others also, it seems likely that the virus was introduced to the market by the visiting US team at the military games, being a place much visited by tourists, but it appears to have been circulating amonst staff at the hotel before that.
( the sudden reappearance of the SARS 2 virus in the Beijing market, apparently originating in imported Norwegian salmon and identified as a different European strain must raise questions of similar “foul-play” in both “coincidental” occurrences)
While such facilities are not available to me, I wonder if you may inquire of the US CDC to provide its report on the Greensprings outbreak – or at least to make the request. It may be assumed that not only did the CDC rapidly identify the suspect virus – as an escape from Fort Detrick – but that it made some attempt to discover the real “patient zero” who transferred it to Greensprings. When you look at the ways by which the virus has escaped the hotel quarantine in Melbourne, and ended up in aged-care homes, you might conclude that a similar route was followed in Fairfax county – perhaps with a cleaning contractor, or perhaps serviceman with a relative at the home.
But because of the unusual characteristics of the virus in mostly being mild and asymptomatic, the wider spread through the community was almost inevitable – as indeed it is now in most places around the world. Equally as now, it would have gone mostly unnoticed and undetected until the colder weather arrived.
I would be very glad if you could acknowledge receipt of my email, and delighted if you respond.
with regards,
David Macilwain,
PS: I should add a “disclaimer” – as you will see I have written many “contrarian” articles on this and other geopolitical problems for American Herald Tribune, which is a serious independent alternative journal. I do not subscribe to “civil-rights” on mask wearing – though I don’t believe masks work; I don’t see any conceivable connection between 5G and Coronavirus but do believe it is genetically engineered and possibly intended as a bio-weapon, and I do believe that the campaign against Hydroxychloroquine is a criminal act sponsored by “Big Pharma” and its many agents in science and government, including our own health minister Greg Hunt.
